With the preseason now in the rearview mirror, we await puck drop on the 26/27 regular season on Tuesday night. There was a shift in Continue Reading
Predictions
Metropolitan Division Notebook – March 2026
The New York Rangers are in complete denial. Chris Drury’s letter to Rangers fans explicitly stated that ‘this is not a rebuild’. That’s the reason I decided to show their timeline as I did, anchored from their original letter to fans in 2018.
Atlantic Division Notebook – March 2026
The Sabres are riding a young group in their charge to the top of the Atlantic Division this season. Sure, there are a few vets sprinkled in, but the balance of the core is still approaching or just reaching their prime.
Central Division Notebook – March 2026
The Utah Mammoth are a team on the rise and they find themselves in a playoff race this season. Their young Dudes are a big part of it too, with Logan Cooley and Dylan Guenther playing key roles. The contention cohort looks strong and capable of supporting a contending roster.
Pacific Division Notebook – February 2026
I’ve put together Contention Roadmaps that merge the ideas from player tiers, development curves, and historical rebuild timelines. The intent is to get a sense of where each team sits in their development cycle and where the potential strengths and weaknesses are in their long term outlook.
23/24 Player Cards Overview
The 23/24 season player cards are now live with the initial set of player performance projections for next season. If you’d like a primer on the data included on the plots before browsing through them, read on.
A Look at the 2023/24 Season Models
While we’ve been enjoying the 22/23 season, I’ve also been busy working on improving my models with an eye on the 23/24 season. I’m starting to create some preliminary projections for next season, so I thought I’d provide an update on what’s changing in the model for next season.
Team Projections: A Look Under the Hood
The standings projections are a big focus in my analysis and I recently gave them a new look to visualize the projections in bar chart form. We’re now readily able to see the final projected standings, broken up by actual points earned thus far and projected points earned through the remainder of the season.
We all know how the actual points are earned. But what about the projected points? Much of what you’ll see on the site is either an input or an intermediate output in the team projection process. Read on to learn more about how it all fits together.
Pacific Division Snapshot – June 2022
What’s in store for the Pacific Division in 22/23? Which teams are the early favorites? Which teams have cap flexibility to improve this offseason? Which teams are in cap purgatory and have some difficult decisions ahead?
A Look At The 2022/2023 Season Models
I’ve been working on improving and updating the models used for the 2021/2022 season projections for next season. Now at the mid-point of the season, there’s enough data to start making some preliminary projections for the 2022/2023 season. With the trade deadline approaching, some teams will be starting to look at next year already so it’s time to a take the new models out of the box and peek at some early projections for next season.