The 23/24 season player cards are now live with the initial set of player performance projections for next season. If you’d like a primer on the data included on the plots before browsing through them, read on.
Predictions
A Look at the 2023/24 Season Models
While we’ve been enjoying the 22/23 season, I’ve also been busy working on improving my models with an eye on the 23/24 season. I’m starting to create some preliminary projections for next season, so I thought I’d provide an update on what’s changing in the model for next season.
Team Projections: A Look Under the Hood
The standings projections are a big focus in my analysis and I recently gave them a new look to visualize the projections in bar chart form. We’re now readily able to see the final projected standings, broken up by actual points earned thus far and projected points earned through the remainder of the season.
We all know how the actual points are earned. But what about the projected points? Much of what you’ll see on the site is either an input or an intermediate output in the team projection process. Read on to learn more about how it all fits together.
Pacific Division Snapshot – June 2022
What’s in store for the Pacific Division in 22/23? Which teams are the early favorites? Which teams have cap flexibility to improve this offseason? Which teams are in cap purgatory and have some difficult decisions ahead?
A Look At The 2022/2023 Season Models
I’ve been working on improving and updating the models used for the 2021/2022 season projections for next season. Now at the mid-point of the season, there’s enough data to start making some preliminary projections for the 2022/2023 season. With the trade deadline approaching, some teams will be starting to look at next year already so it’s time to a take the new models out of the box and peek at some early projections for next season.
Biggest Surprises of the 21/22 Season: Point % Edition
We’re now well into the 21/22 NHL season and teams have generally settled into a pecking order in the standings. Some teams are performing as expected. Others are not. Let’s take a look at which teams have been the biggest surprises relative to the model projections so far this season in terms of overall performance.
Regular Season Brief: Dec 8
Let’s take a look around the league at team performance over the past week and the updated full season standings projections.
Regular Season Brief: Dec 1
Let’s take a look around the league at team performance over the past week, along with updated projected standings.
Regular Season Brief: Nov 24
andings are starting to take shape as we approach the quarter mark of the season. Historically, most teams that sit in playoff positions at American Thanksgiving are still there at the end of the season. Yet there are most often a few surprises mixed in. This week, we’ll look for one team in each division that appears most likely to break into the playoff picture over the rest of the season, along with one team that looks most likely to fall out.
Regular Season Brief: Nov 17
e’re now far enough into the season that we’re starting to the see the true strength of most teams. The bubble has burst on some teams who got off to hot starts, while others who started slow relative to expectations have started picking up points. Let’s take a look at the past week around the league.