With the West Division regular season games now wrapped up, the Anaheim Ducks are the third stop in my 2020-2021 season reviews.
2020-2021 Season Review: Buffalo Sabres
The East Division completed the regular season on Tuesday night and I’m making it the second stop in my season reviews as I look at the Buffalo Sabres.
2020-2021 Season Review: Columbus Blue Jackets
With the Central Division wrapping up regular season play on Monday night, I’m starting my season reviews with the Columbus Blue Jackets.
Season in Review: Overview
With the end of the regular season nearly upon us, we have an opportunity to use the models we do have to assess team performance from the 2020-2021 regular season.
Predicting Team Goals Against Rates
While there are a multitude of factors that affect these two global factors, team SA/60 and team SV% seems like a good starting point for a model. Let’s dive in and create a new model to predict team GA/60 at 5 on 5.
Predicting On-Ice GF/60: Defensemen
Following the same approach used for the model for forwards, we are going to build a model to predict 5v5 on-ice GF/60 for defensemen
Predicting On-Ice GF/60: Forwards
To forecast on-ice GF/60 for individual forwards, we will build a model following a similar process to the points predictor model.
Estimating Team Goals For and Against Rates
Today, we take the next step in building out the model and look at the how contributions to goals for and goals against rates from individual skaters can be combined to estimate team goal rates.
Predicting NHL Regular Season Point Percentage
Can we use data to find some teams that have overperformed and may end up fighting for their playoff lives down the stretch? What about underperforming teams that may find their groove just in time for the playoffs?
Can Defense Affect Shooting Percentage?
Hockey analysts often talk about limiting time and space for offensive players to make plays. If this does truly have an effect on the offensive players, we should be able to find support for it in the numbers.