Greg Amundsen - Puck Luck Analytics

Predicting On-Ice GF/60: Defensemen

Posted on April 30, 2021April 30, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

Following the same approach used for the model for forwards, we are going to build a model to predict 5v5 on-ice GF/60 for defensemen

Predicting On-Ice GF/60: Forwards

Posted on April 27, 2021April 27, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

To forecast on-ice GF/60 for individual forwards, we will build a model following a similar process to the points predictor model.

Estimating Team Goals For and Against Rates

Posted on April 21, 2021April 21, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

Today, we take the next step in building out the model and look at the how contributions to goals for and goals against rates from individual skaters can be combined to estimate team goal rates.

Predicting NHL Regular Season Point Percentage

Posted on April 14, 2021September 29, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

Can we use data to find some teams that have overperformed and may end up fighting for their playoff lives down the stretch? What about underperforming teams that may find their groove just in time for the playoffs?

Can Defense Affect Shooting Percentage?

Posted on April 7, 2021April 7, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

Hockey analysts often talk about limiting time and space for offensive players to make plays. If this does truly have an effect on the offensive players, we should be able to find support for it in the numbers.

2020-2021 Trade Deadline Preview: East Division

Posted on March 31, 2021March 31, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

The East Division is the final stop in my trade deadline previews. There are a number of teams in the east that may look to buy for a playoff run, a couple that are hanging in the playoff race, and a couple of likely sellers.

2020-2021 Trade Deadline Preview: West Division

Posted on March 29, 2021March 31, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

With the NHL trade deadline now two weeks away, I’m taking a look at the needs of the potential buyer teams and identifying some of the likely candidates for rental players on the teams that are likely to be selling. Next up is the West Division.

2020-2021 Trade Deadline Preview: Central Division

Posted on March 25, 2021March 31, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

The Central Division includes both Stanley Cup finalists from last season, along with a couple of teams that having good seasons that have some cap space to work with to make a move at the deadline.

2020-2021 Trade Deadline Preview: North Division

Posted on March 23, 2021March 31, 2021 by Greg Amundsen

The North Division has produced some wildly entertaining hockey through the first half of the season and I’m going to start my trade deadline preview there.